sparkz
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posted on November 13, 2005 09:00:45 PM
As the saying goes, It's not over till the fat lady sings. And the tropical storm season is still with us. Tropical depression 27 just formed in the Carribean, near Puerto Rico. It could become tropical storm Gamma by tomorrow. At least two models are giving it a chance to reach hurricane strength. The first 3 or 4 track maps will not be accurate until the NHC gets a handle on this storm.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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OhMsLucy
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posted on November 13, 2005 09:13:37 PM
Goodly grief! Thanx for keeping us posted, Sparkz.
Lucy
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LtRay
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posted on November 13, 2005 10:04:49 PM
I was wondering when you would post it. I saw it on the 10pm news.
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sparkz
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posted on November 13, 2005 10:22:51 PM
Ltray...This one kind of sneaked up. This morning, it was calm in the Atlantic. I saw later wher there was a low pressure system that evolved from a tropical wave, but I sure didn't expect anything to come of it till tomorrow. Looks like mother nature is in a hurry to squeeze another one in before the season ends.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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niel35
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posted on November 14, 2005 03:49:24 AM
NOT ANOTHER! Thanks for the wonderful news, Sparky. Sure glad you around to keep us informed. I didn't watch the news at all yesterday.
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neglus
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posted on November 14, 2005 04:45:50 AM
Boy! I'm glad I visited Honduras LAST week and not THIS week!
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http://stores.ebay.com/Moody-Mommys-Marvelous-Postcards?refid=store
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ladyjewels2000
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posted on November 14, 2005 06:19:28 AM
Thanks Sparkz
Keep us posted as I can't bear to watch anymore!!!
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Roadsmith
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posted on November 14, 2005 09:28:42 AM
That is SOME fat lady! Sparkz, I think you and my husband must have been separated at birth. He's SO interested in weather and weather maps, etc., and just got himself a really dandy weather station. When we lived in Utah, he kept high and low temperature records for 18 years - faithfully. I suppose in another life he'd have been a TV weatherman.
______________________________
"Our lives begin to end the day we become silent about things that matter."
--Martin Luther King, Jr.
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sparkz
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posted on November 14, 2005 09:31:26 PM
Roadsmith...Glad to hear hubby got a weather station. You need it up there. Surprisingly, you can't get reliable information from the NWS for Idyllwild. Their observations are made at either Anza or Palm Springs. The 88 degree reading NWS had for you today is nowhere near the 62 degree actual temperature. There is a private weather station in Pine Cove on Marion Ridge Dr. that provides readings to an independent weather network, but NWS won't use it.
Niel and Ladyjewells...Ironically, there is a series of atmospheric conditions over Florida right now that is actually pushing this latest system toward the west and keeping it away from you. If it survives the next 24 hours and makes it into the gulf, it looks like someone other than you Floridans will be biting the bullet on this one.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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LtRay
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posted on November 15, 2005 06:20:34 AM
"there is a series of atmospheric conditions over Florida right now "
YEP, its called a COLD (brrrr) Front. Supposed to be here soon and we'll see our gorgeous mid 70's drop into the 50's.
The way that storm is tracking I doubt it will get past tropical storm status or even make it into the Gulf. But ya never know...
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sparkz
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posted on November 16, 2005 10:10:59 AM
TD27 has lost it's circulation and is fizzling out. The remnants are expected to be absorbed by a developing low pressure system in the Carribean. While TD27 is no longer much of a threat to develop further on it's own, the low pressure system will have a greater chance to develop in the near future. This same scenario occurred once earlier this summer, and gave birth to a hurricane. The hurricane was Katrina. The good news here is that this late in the season, it's getting extremely more difficult for a tropical storm to form. One or two more weeks and the threat should be over till next summer.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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niel35
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posted on November 18, 2005 02:32:07 PM
NOT ANOTHER!!!! Might delay my trip to St. A. dammit. Can't leave if it intensifies. what do you think, Sparky??
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sparkz
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posted on November 18, 2005 03:21:28 PM
Niel...There was a special alert this morning that this might happen. I was gone most of the day and just found out about this. There is widespread disagreement among the models as to what this will do. A couple show Gamma heading to Florida following the track on the above map. A couple show it dissapating in 72 hours. A few others are in the process of flipping a coin to arrive at a prediction. Under normal circumstances, this one would be pretty easy to figure out, but this storm is encountering a very hostile envionment trying to develop, and it's a little too soon for them to issue a high confidence forecast. Even though it shows the advisory as being #12, it's really only #1 for the new storm. They are continuing the advisories from TD27 which fizzled a couple of days ago. The remnants merged with a developing low pressure system to become TS Gamma. Only one model shows it as reaching Florida as a hurricane. The others show it not progressing beyond the tropical storm stage.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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niel35
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posted on November 18, 2005 03:27:28 PM
well, thats good news, will just have to wait and see, then. tnx sparky
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sparkz
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posted on November 18, 2005 03:32:13 PM
While I was posting the above, this update came from NHC:
000
WTNT62 KNHC 182211
TCUAT2
TROPICAL STORM GAMMA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
510 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2005
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES GAMMA A LITTLE STRONGER...
...SHORTLY BEFORE 500 PM EST... 2200Z... DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATED THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN
TROPICAL STORM GAMMA HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 45 MPH.
FORECASTER KNABB
Also, there will be an intermediate public advisory issued at 7:00PM EST followed by the next full advisory at 11:00PM EST
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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sparkz
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posted on November 19, 2005 07:30:41 PM
I know Niel is probably en route to St. Augustine tonight and won't see this, but the latest NHC forecast shows Gamma missing Florida. Instead, it looks like Cuba is going to eat this one. One more bullet Ralphie managed to dodge. Hopefully this will be the last tropical storm threat till next season.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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tOMWiii
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posted on November 19, 2005 07:41:01 PM
"We look forward to hearing your vision, so we can more better do our job. That's what I'm telling you." —George W. Bush, Gulfport, Miss., Sept. 20, 2005
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classicrock000
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posted on November 19, 2005 08:18:51 PM
Tom-is that Tom Snyder in the front row,with Jimmy Stewart right behind him?
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Beauty is only a light switch away
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