posted on October 22, 2008 10:42:47 AM new
Bad news for Obama from The Bipartisan, Respected, Very Accurate Battleground Poll.
This is very bad news for Obama — so mark our words, the media will ratchet up its propaganda today. Republicans who are only now seeing how blatant the media cheerleads for Obama, this is directed at you. Don’t buy any of the junk these people are selling: MSNBC, in particular, mortgaged everything it had on an Obama win. They are so in the tank for him, we believe this fourth-place (and fifth-rate) cable propaganda channel won’t survive far into 2009 without an Obama win in two weeks. So the media is working OVERTIME to depress Republican turnout, the way they worked overtime to breed Eeyores in the Clinton camp to depress our turnout in the primaries.
Undecideds will go to McCain at a rate of 4:1 or higher, the same way they broke for Clinton. That means in this Battleground Poll, it’s actually McCain 52%-Obama 49%.
The other interesting thing to keep in mind is that, on average, Obama overpolled by 7% in our primaries. That means his support could actually only be at 42% in this poll above, with McCain ahead by 17-points.
It is foolish and wrong to mourn the men who died. Rather we should thank God that such men lived.George S. Patton
[ edited by Bear1949 on Oct 22, 2008 10:45 AM ]
posted on October 22, 2008 11:21:09 AM new
I value the place where people put their money where their mouths are: Intrade.com.
Latest price: Obama 86.7 vs McCain 13.1. Hey, if you believe what you say, here's a chance for a 7-bagger! Go for it! The odds are too slim to make it worth it for me to take a position, but at 7:1, as your odds are, let's see how you do.
Intrade's history of predictions is very strong.
[ edited by cashinyourcloset on Oct 22, 2008 11:30 AM ]
posted on October 23, 2008 08:57:59 AM newBipartisan, eh Bear?
Here are some bio clips of the three principals from the Tarrance Group webpage. Tarrance group produces the Battleground Poll. What is apparent from this is that they are hardly bipartisan.
President & CEO
Ed Goeas is President and C.E.O. of The Tarrance Group, one of the most respected and successful Republican survey research and strategy teams in American politics today.
Widely recognized as one of the country’s leading political strategists, Goeas is an often sought after consultant. He currently serves on the polling team and provides strategic counsel for the McCain Presidential campaign.
Brian Tringali, Partner
Brian Tringali is a partner with The Tarrance Group, one of the most respected and successful Republican survey research and strategy teams in America today. He also serves as the firm’s Secretary and Treasurer.
Tringali has been a senior advisor to many successful statewide and congressional Republican campaigns throughout the country. During the last presidential election (2004), he conducted tracking in key states in the Midwest including Ohio, Minnesota, Michigan and Ohio. During the last election cycle (2006), Tringali continued to focus on statewide races, including the successful re-election of Governor Linda Lingle in Hawaii. Lingle won with 61.7% of the vote in a state not known for electing Republicans.....Prior to joining the Tarrance team in 1988, Tringali was the Director of the Research Division at the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC).
Dave Sackett, Partner
Dave Sackett is a founding Partner in The Tarrance Group, one of the most respected and successful Republican survey research and strategy teams in American politics today. Sackett has an extensive background in campaign strategy, political media and message development, and demographic targeting.
Sackett serves as the pollster and strategic consultant for over fifty Republican Governors, U.S. Senators, Members of Congress, and State leaders, including Colorado Governor Bill Owens, NRCC Chairman Congressman Tom Reynolds, U.S. Senator John Warner of Virginia, Idaho Senator Larry Craig, and Jacksonville, FL Mayor John Peyton. Sackett also serves as a strategic consultant for the National Republican Congressional Committee, and is the pollster for the State Senate and House campaign committees in Florida.
posted on October 23, 2008 09:22:10 AM new
McCain and Palin sure don't look like they have the energy of come-from-behind candidates. They look depleted. There's not much left for them but finger-pointing.
