grobe
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posted on October 22, 2001 05:54:00 PM new
Anyone care to make predictions about what the online auction situation will be a year from now? What's going to happen with eBay, Yahoo, Amazon and all the small sites?
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opals4u
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posted on October 22, 2001 06:14:22 PM new
A year from now??? I didn't know auctions existed TODAY! All I have seen is single bids, which is no more than a sale in my opinion. Where have you seen an auction lately?
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AuctionBoss
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posted on October 23, 2001 12:56:49 AM new
Some will last, and some will fall. It is all a question of who can stay around for the longest time.
AuctionBoss
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bidsbids
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posted on October 23, 2001 01:35:17 AM new
Many alternative auction sites will fail. The introduction of Yahoo's version of Half.com with a significantly lower FVF and free listings should kill many free sites with more and more hidden fees and deadbeats. The lack of multiple bids on most auctions makes a move to fixed price venues like Yahoo's Wharehouse or eBay's Half.com more realistic.
Can a site like BV survive with little/no traffic and now tight restrictions/fees on both buyers and sellers? I doubt it. BV did what it had to do and is going down swinging but it is definetly going down IMHO.
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fbnenotes
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posted on October 23, 2001 02:52:43 AM new
Since 1997 50% have folded. Look for another 25% of the remmaining 50% to go bye bye. You will see 2 More New Big-Funded Public Online Auction Sites coming on the scene.. with one of them or Yahoo dethroning ebay. No matter how big ebay is today, times change fast and ebay has annoyed its users for to long.
The bargain system is a waste of time and all yak yak.
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litlux
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posted on October 23, 2001 07:32:41 AM new
ebay has a lot of momentum going for it, but it is also like the Titanic. They continue to ignore the increasing number of iceburgs out there in the form of continued technical problems, constantly changing platform, ripped-off buyers, out of control handling charges, upset sellers, arbitrary and capricious rules, and inept marketing.
Meg is like the captain of the Titanic, sleeping below decks while the whole enterprise sails full speed through dangerous seas absolutely convinced it is unsinkable. Even the usually ebullient stock analysts are starting to jump ship.
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RB
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posted on October 23, 2001 07:49:34 AM new
Some will last, and some will fall. It is all a question of who can stay around for the longest time
Now, there's a really deep observation 
I agree with opals4u ... the on line auction world is rapidly changing into an on-line shopping mall. The actual "auction" concept is disappearing from all sites.
Meg is like the captain of the Titanic, sleeping below decks while the whole enterprise sails full speed through dangerous seas absolutely convinced it is unsinkable
Meg is nowhere near her Titantic ... she's off yachting in a different ocean ...
[ edited by RB on Oct 23, 2001 07:51 AM ]
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eSeller004
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posted on October 23, 2001 08:44:30 AM new
It's too late to dethrone eBay. Sure they may not hit their lofty projections, but they'll still be growing long into the future. Online buying is still in its infancy and eBay markets too well to fail. 
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bidsbids
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posted on October 23, 2001 08:58:50 AM new
Ebay will grow bigger and bigger and be what Amazon was in the early days of the internet ( the only game in town in MANY respects. eBay's auction portion of its empire may shrink as the desired goal of ridding common items from the auction portion and placing them on the fixed item portion comes about.
When people will be asked to say 5 words or phrases in response to the word "internet" ... eBay will always be one of the top responses.
Many auction sellers will quit selling as the chances of making any decent profits will grow more and more difficult. The number of new sellers will diminish as it will become understood that selling on the interent is rarely for individual sellers but rather for the big companies.
Evolution, it's all about evolution.
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RB
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posted on October 23, 2001 09:43:03 AM new
I'm on a roll here folks
I agree with both eSeller004 (about eBay) and bidbids (about the evolution).
I don't think having one venue rise to the top at the expense of the others is a bad thing. As a matter of fact, I believe that if eBay remains a venue for the everyday seller/buyer and can somehow keep the auction concept working in addition to their "retail mall" operation, it will be the best place to find something on-line. I would still rather deal with any of you folks than some order-taking computer at Amazon.
Remember what it was like when eBay started? I'd like to see that again.
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holysmokes
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posted on October 23, 2001 09:55:04 AM new
With the exodus of membership on Bidville who are not members of the prez inner circle, Bidville will be reduced to a swap between about 20-30 users. Wait a minute! That is all it is now!
The site we aren't allowed to speak of here will be around and new ones will come and go.
My gut tells me the unspoken, Carnaby and B&H might be the main smaller players.
You Have to love Bidville and the new advertising campaign. I quote "$10 cover charge to get in the door. No refunds if you don't make the inner circle and can't sell anything." While this is going on, the prez is sipping a gallon of Vodka with the classic Dr. Evil smile.
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bidsbids
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posted on October 23, 2001 10:04:40 AM new
While this is going on, the prez is sipping a gallon of Vodka with the classic Dr. Evil smile
More likely he's preparing to abandon another one more of his many failed projects, this time BV.
If you can't succeed on the third attempt at setting up an online auction site then it may be time to try running an Italian restaurant or something.
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undecaffeinated
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posted on October 23, 2001 10:14:21 AM new
All I know is that Ebay is going dowwwwwn!
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kerrigirl
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posted on October 23, 2001 08:07:43 PM new
Year from now = the world will be gone, so why do we care?
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RB
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posted on October 23, 2001 08:14:13 PM new
[iYear from now = the world will be gone, so why do we care?[/i]
Right on! As long as I have enough beer to enjoy the fireworks, I'll be a happy camper
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kerrigirl
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posted on October 23, 2001 09:30:35 PM new
Just put a chair out for me, RB!
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msk12345
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posted on October 29, 2001 07:29:21 AM new
I think there will be drastic changes in online auctions, specifically with large third-party destination sites. More and more organizations will look to private label auction solutions for the customer control and brand recognition. These larger organizations want the customer data and will not have to rely on the brand of Ebay to help them sell goods. The myth of ebay, yahoo, and amazons as the ones driving the traffic to web sites will be knocked down. A private label solution will drive traffic to these sites. Look for small companies, who provide private label solutions that most people have never heard of to really come on the scene in the next year.
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