sparkz
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posted on August 24, 2005 08:38:22 PM
Heads up Bizzy. You've got company coming tomorrow night. Katrina is now forcast to reach category 1 hurricane status shortly before landfall. Won't be a lot of wind damage, but flooding is the big danger with over 12 inches of rain forecast. It's going to hit between West Palm Beach and Miami late Thursday night or early Friday morning.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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bizzycrocheting
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posted on August 25, 2005 04:19:06 AM
Thanks, Sparkz, but it shouldn't be too bad where I now live. I'm in between Tampa and Orlando. It's way south of me. It's scheduled to hit Lee and Charlotte Counties (on the west coast).
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tOMWiii
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posted on August 25, 2005 04:37:57 AM
Oi! Ralphie has his backpack packed & keeps giving me dirty looks!
"I told ya we should have moved back to Boston, you old fool"
[ edited by tOMWiii on Aug 25, 2005 04:38 AM ]
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EstateSaleStuff
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posted on August 25, 2005 05:49:13 AM
Silly Ralphie! 
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sparkz
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posted on August 25, 2005 02:32:31 PM
TS Katrina in now a hurricane with max sustained winds of 75 mph.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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bizzycrocheting
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posted on August 25, 2005 04:15:18 PM
It's blowing pretty good here, but hardly any rain yet. I have a feeling that the fireworks and downpours will come during the night. Niel is in Miami. I wonder how he/she is fairing?
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sparkz
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posted on August 25, 2005 09:39:01 PM
I imagine Niel is fumbling around in the dark looking for a candle and match. At least 450,000 in that area are without power. It made landfall at 6:30 EDT at 80 mph. Interestingly, the eye apparently passed directly over the national Hurricane Center offices and they were able to make a direct manual measurement of a pressure of 984.5 MB at the center. The real nail biter will come when this thing exits the west coast into the gulf.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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carolinetyler
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posted on August 26, 2005 05:33:12 AM
Surprised that this one didn't skirt up the East Coast - didn't expect it to go West like that. This is the last place it needs to be!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
 Caroline
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vintagepostcardsdotorg
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posted on August 26, 2005 02:07:35 PM
sparkz,
what's the link for that graphic you posted? thanks.
http://stores.ebay.com/postcards-postcards?refid=store
http://www.vintagepostcards.org
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toasted36
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posted on August 26, 2005 02:26:29 PM
I'm not sparks lol but
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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sparkz
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posted on August 26, 2005 02:28:15 PM
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml?
This is the link to the NHC. The graphic at the top of the page is a live link, in that it automatically updates 4 times a day at 5:00 and 11:00 EDT. Right now, the projected path looks a little better for Glassgrl and the others in the Panhandle, and not so good for Mississippi and Alabama.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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tOMWiii
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posted on August 26, 2005 03:18:51 PM
"Yes, Ralphie, there IS a Santa Claus..."
[ edited by tOMWiii on Aug 26, 2005 03:19 PM ]
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dblfugger9
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posted on August 26, 2005 03:53:05 PM
Isnt part of ebay and/or Paypal's customer service in Florida? I wonder if they have seperate servers and if they get affected by any of this?
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sparkz
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posted on August 26, 2005 04:22:32 PM
That storm track is dependent on certain atmospheric events that provide the steering mechanism happening when and as predicted, so it will be changing a little with each update, but the trend is west towards La. The bad news is that it will be spending more time over warm water building up in intensity. It should turn into a category 3 storm sometime tomorrow afternoon, and the NHC is now starting to mention the possibility of it reaching category 4 status shortly before landfall. This will be an extremely dangerous storm when it makes its encore landfall.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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glassgrl
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posted on August 26, 2005 04:46:18 PM
POOH! I was all ready for her!
(just kidding folks! although I did make my store and gas runs today)
Prayers for wherever she lands! Just like a woman heh?
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sparkz
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posted on August 26, 2005 05:09:27 PM
Glassgrl...The original storm track showed it coming in your front door and out your back door. Whe you did your store and gas runs today, I hope you didn't forget to buy a lottery ticket. Same for you too Tom. Let Ralphie pick the numbers. He's been doing a good job keeping the storms away from JAX so far 
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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sparkz
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posted on August 26, 2005 05:25:31 PM
Here's a doppler radar view of Katrina from Key West as of a few minutes ago. Also, all watches and warnings related to Katrina have been cancelled for the state of Florida except for the Keys, although the panhandle should get some advisories as it makes its turn toward the north tomorrow.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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tOMWiii
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posted on August 26, 2005 05:29:32 PM
Luckily, I caught this candid shot of Ralphie waving "GOODBYE" to Katrina: 
[ edited by tOMWiii on Aug 26, 2005 05:29 PM ]
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sparkz
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posted on August 26, 2005 08:52:59 PM
The NHC official forecast now shows Katrina reaching Category 4 strength before landfall. This will entail winds of 131 to 155 mph. The presently predicted landfall is La or Miss. I know there are a few VD'rs in this area, including Maggiemuggins. Keep an eye on this one. It could get nasty really soon. OTOH, those in Florida can breathe a little easier now.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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fenix03
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posted on August 26, 2005 09:57:40 PM
Miss Mags has gone to welcome her new grandson into the world (due Tuesday), hopefully she's well out of the way of the storm. Good luck to those that are still in Kats wake.
~~~ • ~~~ • ~~~ • ~~~ • ~~~
An intelligent deaf-mute is better than an ignorant person who can speak.
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sparkz
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posted on August 26, 2005 10:20:42 PM
Glad to hear that Fenix. I know she bailed out on one last year. I think she's faced a few of these in the past, and figures discretion is the better part of valor. I hope you are braced for hurricane Hilliary. Satellite pix show that she (or what little is left of it) is headed for San Diego. It will be a category -5 when it comes ashore and you will have to endure at least 15 seconds of drizzle. Hurricanes just don't like California. Must be all that mosquito repellent we use
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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fenix03
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posted on August 26, 2005 10:44:28 PM
Sparkz - Those pesky little hurricanes are too fearful of the aircraft carriers across the bay to mess with us.
The only force of nature I "worry" about are the occasional rumblers and after being just a couple miles from Northridge those many years ago (apartment survived, office did not), the baby shakers we feel down here ain't nothin but thing 
~~~ • ~~~ • ~~~ • ~~~ • ~~~
An intelligent deaf-mute is better than an ignorant person who can speak.
[ edited by fenix03 on Aug 26, 2005 10:45 PM ]
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niel35
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posted on August 27, 2005 05:40:16 PM
I'M BACK - its Saturday and the power came back on at 8PM thanks to some guys from NC. There are power trucks all over Dade County. I lost power at 6:30 on Thursday and its been hotter than hell. the winds were about 90 MPH and heavy rains when she came through. Portions of Miami are flooded with water up to their ankles. We were lucky as no water came in but street was flooded and lots of Big trees down in the area. It is so nice to have lights and A/C as it was about 100 in the house here. the yard is a mess but we are safe, the dogs are safe so all is OK. Hey, thanks for caring...
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sparkz
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posted on August 27, 2005 05:57:28 PM
Welcome back Niel. I figured since we wern't getting any updates that you had lost power. Don't feel bad, about 1 1/2 million of your neighbors were in the same boat. I was surprised to read that one of the safety recommendations FEMA makes for post hurricane areas (especially Florida)where there is flooding is to be very careful when you venture outside and make sure no water moccasins or alligators have washed up into your yard. The people in New Orleans are facing a major dilema now. The forecast is for katrina to hit the La. coast as a category 4 hurricane, but here is a cut and paste of a portion of a NHC forecast discussion from this afternoon:
<<KATRINA SHOULD STRENGTHEN AS IT COMES OUT OF THE CONCENTRIC EYEWALL
CYCLE. THE GFDL IS NOW CALLING FOR A PEAK INTENSITY OF 131 KT...
WHILE THE SHIPS MODEL IS CALLING FOR 130 KT AND THE FSU
SUPERENSEMBLE 128 KT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL CALL FOR
STRENGTHENING TO 125 KT AT LANDFALL...AND THERE REMAINS A CHANCE
THAT KATRINA COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE BEFORE
LANDFALL. THERE REMAINS THE POSSIBILITY OF ANOTHER CONCENTRIC
EYEWALL CYCLE BEFORE LANDFALL...WHICH COULD THROW OFF THE INTENSITY
FORECAST A BIT.
THE NEW FORECAST TRACK AND WIND RADII REQUIRE A HURRICANE WATCH FOR
AND EXPANDED PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AT THIS TIME.
HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT FOR PARTS
OF THE WATCH AREA.
FORECASTER BEVEN>>
Whenever NHC mentions the phrase "category five", it's time to pack up and go visit relatives in Nebraska.
Glad to hear you made it through O.K., and again, welcome back.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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niel35
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posted on August 27, 2005 06:30:26 PM
Ralphie - as big as that 'cane is, you are going to feel some of the effects. We are still getting feeder bands in heavy rains from time to time. Keep your back pak on.
Sparky the weatherman - your links are great and it looks very dangerous to the people up in the Gulf.
Its really scarry when those winds start up and you don't know what is going to go next. I lost a huge palm and luckily it fell away from my A/C. unit. I am so thankful we have power and a/c again now. We take so much for granted and when it is not working, yuk.
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bizzycrocheting
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posted on August 27, 2005 06:33:43 PM
Glad to see you back Niel! I knew that you were down there and wondered how you fared. Unfortunately, my neighbors weren't as lucky. Many have been flooded out of their homes and there are a few that can't even get out because of the flooding.
My prayers are definitely with those in New Orleans. This storm will be devastating when it hits them. H. Andrew was tough in its winds, but H. Katrina is packing not just a powerful punch, but dumping oceans of water. I have a feeling that the damage from Katrina will far outweigh the damage from Andrew, which was, I believe, 13 billion.
Diane
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maggiemuggins
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posted on August 27, 2005 08:07:14 PM
Fenix, Sparks...I'm in North Carolina..my 7th grandchild was born at 7:30 this evening!
Luke Daniel entered the world at 8 lbs 4 oz.. Mother Father sissy all doing well.
Grandpa Muggins was evacuated from the rigs earlier and is now evacuating MS. hope I have a house to return to! Katrina looks like a mean one!!
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sparkz
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posted on August 27, 2005 08:23:01 PM
Maggiemuggins...You're right where everyone in La. and Miss. would like to be right now. Stay where you are and take care of that grandson. This thing has a chance to make Cat 5 and go into the record books with Andrew.
BTW Congratulations Grandma!!
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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jwpc
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posted on August 27, 2005 09:51:15 PM
Every day I am so glad my husband FINALLY decided that we would be moving to North Georgia, rather the Gulf Coast!
~"It does not matter what I think, it does not matter what you think. The only thing which matters is: What is the TRUTH!"~
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tOMWiii
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posted on August 28, 2005 04:56:52 AM
There was a NEWS FLASH a few mins ago that KATRINA is being upgraded to a CATEGORY 5...
Yup! This just in from the RPAMAFW NEWS SERVICE (Ralphie-P-&-M-About-Florida-Weather):
"Updated: 7:55 a.m. ET Aug. 28, 2005
NEW ORLEANS - Hurricane Katrina strengthened to a dangerous Category 5 on Sunday with 160 mph sustained wind as residents of south Louisiana jammed freeways in a rush to get out of the way of the powerful storm.
The National Hurricane Center put out a special advisory on the hurricane’s gain in strength just before 8 a.m. EDT. The boost came just hours after Katrina reached Category 4, with wind of 145 mph, as it gathered energy from the warm water of the Gulf of Mexico.
Officials worried that not enough people were taking the monster Category 5 storm seriously enough."
[ edited by tOMWiii on Aug 28, 2005 05:01 AM ]
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