sparkz
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posted on September 1, 2005 04:33:07 PM new
It was born this morning. The tracking forecast is very low confidence at this point. It could wind up anywhere from Key West to Nova Scotia.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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niel35
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posted on September 1, 2005 04:51:32 PM new
looks like it going north, sparky the weatherman
sure hope so, we have had enuf
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sparkz
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posted on September 1, 2005 08:45:43 PM new
Niel...This one is a newborn and is struggleing at the moment to survive. One model shows it dissipating in 48 hours and another shows it gaining hurricane status in 72 hrs. All the others are in between. It's no threat yet, but it bears watching. OTOH, there is a system much further out that is getting a lot of scrutiny. It looks like if certain events transpire at the right times, it could be a blockbuster. Here's a picture of it. The one associated with the strong convection is the one they are worried about.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
[ edited by sparkz on Sep 1, 2005 08:56 PM ]
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niel35
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posted on September 2, 2005 04:13:00 AM new
Will sure keep an eye on them. thanks for the info.
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dblfugger9
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posted on September 2, 2005 05:34:43 AM new
the one associated with the strong convection is the one they are worried about.
What is a strong convection?
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niel35
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posted on September 2, 2005 07:44:38 AM new
I've never heard that expression before. Will see what is happening on the noon news. They had some websites in the paper this morning to contact relatives who are missing in N.O. There are about 5 or 6 of them. Do you think I should start a thread with them??
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dblfugger9
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posted on September 2, 2005 07:48:25 AM new
Niel, you know we can go and search it.
But I like sparkz the weatherman's 'channel'
lol! 
re: the missing people thing. You could place a link if you want. But I'd imagine if people are looking, they may have found it already, but maybe it's easier if somebody reads here and just thought to click on the link. dunno...
.
[ edited by dblfugger9 on Sep 2, 2005 07:50 AM ]
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sparkz
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posted on September 2, 2005 09:45:09 AM new
TD14 has strengthened and is now tropical storm Maria. Niel, convection is basically warm moist air from the surface rising and being cooled by cold air aloft which condenses it and returns to earth as precipitation, usually in a violent fashion that produces lightning, thunder and extremely high winds. When it happens over land it produces strong thunderstorms and occasional tornados. Over water, where there is much more warm surface water to feed the process, the results can escalate into stronger storms that can continue to grow in size and strength.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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niel35
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posted on September 2, 2005 11:37:00 AM new
Geez Sparky - you should be a weatherman.
According to the noon news, Maria is heading north for New England. However there is another disturbance out there now.
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sparkz
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posted on September 2, 2005 08:34:27 PM new
NHC is predicting this to become a hurricane in the next 36-48 hours. The good news is that at this time, it is not predicted to hit the east coast, although things could change. Meanwhile, out west, this is what we have to contend with. The figure at the top of the map indicates the number of earthquakes we have had in Calif in the last 7 days. The large yellow square at the bottom of the state is a 5.1 that hit yesterday at 6:27 PM near the Salton sea. This one should have rattled Roadsmith a little.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
[ edited by sparkz on Sep 2, 2005 08:35 PM ]
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bjboswell
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posted on September 2, 2005 09:47:59 PM new
sparkz... what an interestig site you have shown us, the USGS site. I am going to bookmark it. Thanks very much!
[ edited by bjboswell on Sep 2, 2005 09:48 PM ]
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sparkz
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posted on September 2, 2005 10:51:53 PM new
bjboswell...That map illustrates why everyone in California wears rubber sole tennis shoes. Leather sole shoes will cause the fillings in your teeth to shake loose. It's also the reason that sellers of glass and china consider 2 buck chuck to be a necessary business expense
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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sparkz
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posted on September 4, 2005 11:07:39 AM new
Tropical Storm Maria is now a category one hurricane, and expected to strengthen in the next 48 hours. The good news is that all computer models and forecasts predict that it will go north and not pose a threat to land.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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sanmar
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posted on September 4, 2005 01:55:24 PM new
What happened to Storm "L"?
Life Is Too Short To Drink Bad Wine
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sparkz
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posted on September 4, 2005 02:23:03 PM new
Sanmar...TD13 formed in the Atlantic near Bermuda on 8-28 and was upgraded to Tropical Storm Lee on the 31st. It never had the right environment to pick up much steam and was downgraded to a tropical depression that same day. It finally dissipated on 9-1. Probably the shortest lived storm of the season. It was never a threat to the U.S. coastline so didn't get much fanfare.
A $75.00 solid state device will always blow first to protect a 25 cent fuse ~ Murphy's Law
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sanmar
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posted on September 4, 2005 02:37:22 PM new
Thanx sparkz.
Life Is Too Short To Drink Bad Wine
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