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 dimview
 
posted on July 1, 2001 05:37:56 PM new
Okay, let's take another look at Bidville.

See Newest Featured Items?

Good, click on the first one.

I get item 3512250, started on 7-1-2001.

Now see the little pictures under Featured Gallery Items... Ending Soon?

Let's click on the first picture.

I get item 3423366, started on 6-17-2001.

So now let's do some math.

3,512,250 - 3,423,366 = 88,884 listings between 6-17-2001 and 7-1-2001.

And look at the calendar.

6-17-2001 to 7-1-2001 is 14 days.

So, it follows that

88,884 listings / 2 weeks = 44,442 listings per week.

Now this is where I have a problem.

Look at the homepage again.

I see "662,445 listings in 2,303 categories".

If there are 662,445 listings, and 44,442 listings are NEW this week, does that not mean that 618,003 listings are OLD from last week?

Sure looks like relists to me.

(662,445 - 44,442) / 662,445 = 93% to be exact.




[ edited by dimview on Jul 1, 2001 05:57 PM ]
 
 gottaknow88
 
posted on July 1, 2001 06:00:01 PM new
Isn't there a rule about relisting the same topic over and over again on these message boards? For someone who despises relistings, you certainly are a relister.

And once again your math is flawed because some auctions run 10, 20 and even 30 days so they would not be relisted every 7 days.

OK, awaiting new argument.....

[ edited by gottaknow88 on Jul 1, 2001 06:01 PM ]
 
 dimview
 
posted on July 1, 2001 06:05:08 PM new
gottaknow88 >
Isn't there a rule about relisting the same topic over and over again on these message boards?

< LOL > You can view it as a continuation of the four-page one if you like. Clicking multiple times to the end of a thread is cumbersome.

And once again your math is flawed because some auctions run 10, 20 and even 30 days. OK, awaiting new argument.....

Bidville accepts 1, 3, 5, 7, 10, 14, 20 and 30 day auctions.

You want to increase the numbers for 30 days auctions, and perhaps the 10, 14 and 20 day ones too.

So how much should the decrease be for the 1, 3 and 5 day auctions?

Looks like the average is going to be close to seven days anyway.
[ edited by dimview on Jul 1, 2001 06:07 PM ]
 
 deichen
 
posted on July 1, 2001 06:18:30 PM new
Yes, Dimview relists and rants and bashes. He obviously has a problem coming to grip with the reality of a free site and numbers call out to him.

 
 collectstocks2
 
posted on July 1, 2001 07:00:31 PM new
Dimview,
I was wondering? If the Prez. comes back
and admits your close or right on the button. What happens then?

 
 gottaknow88
 
posted on July 1, 2001 07:02:24 PM new
From bidville:

"1 and 3 day auctions can only relist one time. All others can relist ad nauseum."

This further skews your data to the right away from 7 day average and toward 20 or so. And, since a 30 day auction is 4 times longer than a 7 day auction, one 30 day item will skew four 7 day items to an 11.6 day average length.

(7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 30)=58/5 days = 11.6 days

[ edited by gottaknow88 on Jul 1, 2001 07:05 PM ]
 
 deichen
 
posted on July 1, 2001 07:05:26 PM new
If the Prez finds out he is right, maybe he will pay him $5,000 to consult! LOL

They say that women talk too much. If you have worked in congress you know that the filibuster was invented by men.
- Clare Booth Luce

 
 dimview
 
posted on July 1, 2001 08:09:22 PM new
gottaknow88 >
"1 and 3 day auctions can only relist one time. All others can relist ad nauseum."

Is there anything that would prevent an inventory warehouser from simply uploading a batch of one day auctions, with one relist, every other day?

This further skews your data to the right away from 7 day average and toward 20 or so. And, since a 30 day auction is 4 times longer than a 7 day auction, one 30 day item will skew four 7 day items to an 11.6 day average length.

(7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 30)=58/5 days = 11.6 days

Since there are 1, 3, 5, 7, 10, 14, 20 and 30 auctions, what would the average be if there were equal numbers of each.

1 + 3 + 5 + 7 + 14 + 20 + 30 = 80 / 7 = 11.4 days.

Let's say that the average was 11.4 days, then the sell-through rate would be

(0.8 x 11.4) / 7 = 1.3%

And if ALL auctions were 30 day auctions, then the sell-through rate would be

(0.8 x 30) / 7 = 3.4%

So I checked the all the newly featured auctions on the homepage and found the average to be 8.1 days, so the sell-through rate would be

(0.8 x 8.1) / 7 = 0.9%

We really need a BIG fudge factor, don't we?

And shouldn't we decrease the sell-through rate because some reserve auctions closed with bids, but did not really sell because the reserve was not met?





[ edited by dimview on Jul 1, 2001 08:10 PM ]
 
 jimhhow
 
posted on July 1, 2001 09:48:50 PM new
err,... DIMVIEW, then what is going to keep an inventory warehouser from uploading his bulk loader every seven days if Bidville did go to no relists for free users?

 
 jimhhow
 
posted on July 1, 2001 09:55:22 PM new
Also, when you start looking at all the different factors to determine the duration for the sell through rate, don't you have to take leap year into account also. (just kidding)

Seriously though, I mean couldn't you also justify an adjustment to that to allow for the take it now instant closings.

I van tell you, with certainty, that Bidville is slowly picking up more bidders. I believe anyone there can say there is some improvement, though I am sure there are many that wish it were more. But the truth is, Bidville is moving, albeit slowly.

I am also curious, when you look on Ebay for postcards, do you search every listing on every page in the category? Or do you hit your favorite sellers, and occasionally browse around?

 
 dimview
 
posted on July 1, 2001 11:14:26 PM new
jimhhow >
jimhhow >
err,... DIMVIEW, then what is going to keep an inventory warehouser from uploading his bulk loader every seven days if Bidville did go to no relists for free users?

Maybe the Bulk Loader should only be available to Premier and Premier Plus members; there wouldn't be a comparable Bulk Dumper for inventory warehousers. They'd have to enter everything manually.

Also, when you start looking at all the different factors to determine the duration for the sell through rate, don't you have to take leap year into account also. (just kidding)

Actually, yes.

Seriously though, I mean couldn't you also justify an adjustment to that to allow for the take it now instant closings.

On thinking about this, the methodology of taking the number of closed auctions with bids and dividing by the number of total auctions for that week, is independent of the duration of the auctions themselves.

A sell-through rate would actually measure the number of auctions that closed with bids and divide by the number of auctions, thus considering the duration of the auctions themselves.

I've always maintained these are approximations, and the two ratios would only be the same if all the auctions were of seven days duration.

I van tell you, with certainty, that Bidville is slowly picking up more bidders. I believe anyone there can say there is some improvement, though I am sure there are many that wish it were more. But the truth is, Bidville is moving, albeit slowly.

Probably best measured in geological time.

I am also curious, when you look on Ebay for postcards, do you search every listing on every page in the category? Or do you hit your favorite sellers, and occasionally browse around?

I usually click through an entire category, but sometimes just have time for a few keyword searches.

I don't have any favorite sellers, but when I find something interesting I'll take a look at the seller's other auctions to see if there's anything else of interest to me.



 
 ScrappinMemories
 
posted on July 2, 2001 07:29:51 AM new
(Copied from above)
See Newest Featured Items?
Good, click on the first one.
I get item 3512250, started on 7-1-2001.
Now see the little pictures under Featured Gallery Items... Ending Soon?
(end of copy)

MAYBE this is the reason the numbers you are coming up with aren't what we are seeing at Bidville as sellers.
From what I can tell above... you are going by FEATURED auctions. The ones that you PAY to have listed. I put most of my pictures in the gallery (wich you pay for also) but FEATURE (higher cost) very few. MOST auctions are NOT featured and would not show up in your statics. I don't see a place that lists "new auctions" overall or averall auctions "ending soon" You could list an auction to find the number of the latest auction. Not sure where to get the other number you need. Going by only featured auctions would put you WAY off on % though... unless I misunderstood where you were getting your numbers.... wich COULD be...


 
 dimview
 
posted on July 2, 2001 07:43:21 AM new
Bidville assigns items numbers in order, the "featured" areas of the homepage are excellent for determining how many items have been listed from week to week.

I have an idea, why don't you insert a listing without featuring it on the homepage and then report back with the approximate item number.

Then we can go about making a few more assessments.



 
 ScrappinMemories
 
posted on July 2, 2001 08:11:42 AM new
The item I just listed is item 3515316.

The prez has posted the stats. They are at:http://www.bidville.com/bidville_stats.htm


 
 
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